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Burnaby Municipal Election Poll: Corrigan in tight race with challenger Hurley

Calgary/Vancouver (5 October 2018) – Incumbent and five-term mayor, Derek Corrigan, is locked in tight race with first-time candidate, Mike Hurley, according to a commissioned poll by the International Association of FireFighters undertaken by zinc tank in partnership with Justason Market Intelligence and Dufferin Research.

Corrigan and Hurley appear to be in a virtual tie – 43% and 42%, respectively – among committed and decided voters (estimated to be 52% of Burnaby residents, 18 years+). This includes their support – there are few differences in terms of demographics (i.e., by age and gender).

“This close race is favourable for first-time mayoral candidate Hurley when you get behind the traditional horse-race numbers,” stated Brian F. Singh, President & CEO, zinc tank. “Corrigan remains well-regarded in his performance in his role of mayor, however his favourability ratings are relatively lower than Hurley, and there is an appetite for change.”

Corrigan continues to enjoy a high level of awareness relative to Hurley (71% versus 44% have sort of impression of the candidates). However, among those who have an impression of either candidate, Hurley has a significantly higher net favourability rating (very/somewhat favourable minus very/somewhat unfavourable) of +48 percentage points versus +4 for Corrigan among decided and committed voters. “It appears that as voters get know Hurley, in his first run for the top job at City Hall, voters consider him more favourably relative to the incumbent,” added Singh.

While Corrigan is well-regarded to be elected for five terms, there is an appetite for change: 3 in 5 decided and committed voters (59%) agreed that it is time for a change and to give someone else a chance to be Mayor of Burnaby.

Singh added, “With just over two weeks to go, this is poised to be an interesting election.”

View the data tables here: https://www.web-research-online.com/media/burnaby-mep.html

Slides available here: https://www.web-research-online.com/media/BurnabyMayoralPoll-October5-2018.pdf

 

Research Notes

These are the findings of a mixed-mode survey of 645 adult residents (18 years+) of the City of Burnaby. The survey was conducted for the International Association of FireFighters by zinc tank in partnership with Justason Market Intelligence and Dufferin Research. Zinc tank and Justason Marketing Intelligence teamed up during 2017 British Columbia provincial election, and their collective insights delivered some of the most accurate findings and they were unique in the use of mixed-mode data collection.

This poll used a mixed mode methodology of automatic telephone interviews and online surveys. The telephone research relied on random digit dialled (RDD) automatic telephone interviews. The sample frame included listed and unlisted landlines and mobile phone numbers.  The online sample source includes panels from Asking Canadians and Justason Market Intelligence. The final combined weighted sample reflects the actual population demographics. These data rely in part on a non-probability weighted sample; hence, no margin of error is reported. Metro Vancouver has higher-than-average penetration of mobile internet access. Broadband internet access exceeds landline usage. Mixed mode methodology was selected to mitigate the biases presented via automatic telephone interviews (that skew older), pre-screened online panel (that skews middle-aged and younger), and challenges of targeting a restricted geography (i.e., the City of Burnaby).

Dates of research: September 28 to October 3, 2018

Methodology: Mixed mode - Automatic landline and cellphone and online panel.

Total Sample: 645 – 450 automated calls (landline/cell phone); 195 online panel.

Weighting: Final data were weighted to match gender and age distributions according to the 2016 Canadian Census. Note, discrepancy in weighted/unweighted data due to lack of actual data related to non-binary populations. (Source: https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=CSD&Code1=5915025&Geo2=CD&Code2=5915&Data=Count&SearchText=Burnaby&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&B1=All&TABID=1). Note, the population has remained relatively stable between 2011 and 2016, and the mean age of voters is 47 years.

Margin of error: This research does not report margin of error. A pure unweighted probability sample of 645 reports margin of error at ±3.85 percentage points most (95 per cent) of the time.

Research Sponsors: International Association of FireFighters (https://client.prod.iaff.org/).

Polling Firm & Partners: zinc tank (http://www.zinc-tank.com/) with Justason Market Intelligence Inc. (http://www.justasonmi.com/) and Dufferin Research (https://www.dufferinresearch.com/).

Panel Providers: Asking Canadians (https://www.askingcanadians.com/) and Justason Market Intelligence Inc. (http://www.justasonmi.com/).

For more information contact:

Brian F. Singh, zinc tank

+1 403 861 9462 / This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. / zinc-tank.com

Barb Justason, Justason Market Intelligence Inc.

+1 604 783 4165 / This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. / JMI.co

In-house research for your enlightenment. 

Many of us spend a lot of time at work, so it can help your sense of well-being if you’re doing something that makes you happy. Work doesn’t have to be just a means to an end, it can be something that makes you feel proud and good about yourself...
 

One interesting finding was that 65% of people in skilled jobs were happy in their work, compared to 58% of people in professional jobs. So it appears that having a practical skill and using it can play a big part in the amount of job satisfaction you feel.

 

Working for yourself also got the thumbs up, with 85% of self-employed workers saying that running their own business made them happy, compared to 58% of people employed in full-time jobs.

The survey also revealed that the other main factors leading to happiness were getting on well with colleagues, having stimulating work, liking your work environment, managing your own workload, and doing something worthwhile and useful.

MaxDiff Design & Analysis: Dufferin+R vs. Sawtooth

Our analysis of MaxDiff (design and analysis)

Decades of research have already gone into understanding the process of 'vernalisation', how plants sense periods of low temperature, and 'remember' this information in order to control the timing of flowering. It ensures plants avoid flowering during the destructive winter months, and instead flower during the warm spring and summer months when they have ample time and sunlight to produce seeds.

 

Understanding vernalisation is therefore of vital importance to the success of commercial crops such as oil-seed rape and broccoli, among many others.